Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.045301 0.049339 0.053433 0.057887 0.062591 0.067403 0.072691
2024-10-06 0.039440 0.045450 0.051772 0.058890 0.066655 0.074840 0.084094
2024-10-13 0.034798 0.042232 0.050315 0.059692 0.070206 0.081569 0.094717
2024-10-20 0.030105 0.038426 0.047767 0.058908 0.071718 0.085873 0.102583
2024-10-27 0.027204 0.036335 0.046875 0.059755 0.074882 0.091906 0.112334
2024-11-03 0.024089 0.033676 0.045056 0.059289 0.076346 0.095873 0.119660
2024-11-10 0.021812 0.031816 0.043998 0.059556 0.078535 0.100588 0.127799
2024-11-17 0.020110 0.030512 0.043480 0.060358 0.081271 0.105888 0.136600
2024-11-24 0.019572 0.030646 0.044710 0.063283 0.086575 0.114264 0.149097
2024-12-01 0.017087 0.027993 0.042215 0.061383 0.085822 0.115264 0.152720
2024-12-08 0.015408 0.026304 0.040851 0.060814 0.086635 0.118098 0.158506
2024-12-15 0.013973 0.024843 0.039692 0.060422 0.087599 0.121066 0.164428
2024-12-22 0.013489 0.024752 0.040415 0.062567 0.091903 0.128316 0.175800
2024-12-29 0.012688 0.024134 0.040371 0.063668 0.094865 0.133920 0.185204
2025-01-05 0.011881 0.023443 0.040179 0.064537 0.097512 0.139141 0.194173
2025-01-12 0.010647 0.021987 0.038810 0.063722 0.097888 0.141444 0.199481
2025-01-19 0.010004 0.021425 0.038699 0.064623 0.100532 0.146654 0.208477
2025-01-26 0.009051 0.020269 0.037642 0.064135 0.101265 0.149376 0.214311
2025-02-02 0.008373 0.019522 0.037153 0.064419 0.103021 0.153414 0.221832
2025-02-09 0.007886 0.019064 0.037072 0.065265 0.105532 0.158439 0.230632
2025-02-16 0.007938 0.019574 0.038511 0.068351 0.111171 0.167625 0.244863
2025-02-23 0.006887 0.017975 0.036544 0.066348 0.109673 0.167333 0.246799
2025-03-02 0.006216 0.017022 0.035554 0.065748 0.110103 0.169577 0.252017